The National Center for Meteorology in Saudi Arabia has released its climate report for February, outlining the exceptional weather conditions expected during the month. The forecast indicates, God willing, rainfall exceeding the usual averages for this time of year across large areas of the Kingdom, accompanied by a significant rise in average surface temperatures, suggesting a volatile month requiring continuous monitoring.
February weather forecast details
According to the center's numerical models, parts of the Madinah, Qassim, Hail, Northern Borders, and Al-Jawf regions are expected to experience above-average rainfall, with the possibility of moderate to heavy downpours at times. These chances also extend to parts of northern Riyadh and the Eastern Province. Regarding temperatures, the report anticipates a rise across the Kingdom, with increases reaching up to 1.4 degrees Celsius above average in parts of southern and southwestern Eastern Province, southeastern Riyadh, and eastern and central Jazan, with a 70% probability of this occurring.
Climate context and the importance of forecasts
February typically marks a transitional period in most parts of the Kingdom, with temperatures gradually moderating and signaling the end of winter and the beginning of spring. However, current forecasts indicate an unusual weather pattern, reflecting the increasing impact of global climate change on weather patterns in the Arabian Peninsula. Historically, rainfall during this period has helped replenish water reserves and groundwater, but above-average rainfall also increases the likelihood of flash floods in valleys and low-lying areas.
Expected impacts on various sectors
These weather forecasts have direct implications for several vital sectors. From an agricultural perspective, the rainfall is a boon for farmers, contributing to the irrigation of winter crops and supporting natural pastures. Regarding water resources, this rain helps replenish strategic dam reserves. However, rising temperatures pose challenges related to increased energy consumption for cooling. The forecast of heavy rainfall also necessitates heightened preparedness among civil defense and road management authorities to ensure the safety of citizens and residents and to address any emergencies that may arise from flash floods or water accumulation.
In conclusion, the National Center of Meteorology stressed the need to follow daily weather updates and reports, and to adhere to the instructions and warnings issued by official authorities to ensure public safety during this period of fluctuating weather.
