Oil prices rise again: an analysis of the causes and impact of the fluctuations

Oil prices rise again: an analysis of the causes and impact of the fluctuations

January 23, 2026
7 mins read
An in-depth analysis of the rise in Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices. Learn about the role of OPEC+ supply and global demand in shaping the future of global energy markets and their economic impact.

Global energy markets saw a notable rebound in oil prices on Friday, with prices recovering some of the losses incurred in the previous session. This rise is supported by a combination of factors related to global supply forecasts and improving investor sentiment.

In trading details, Brent crude futures for March delivery rose 35 cents, or 0.55%, to $64.41 . Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 33 cents, or 0.56%, to settle at $59.69 . This recovery comes after both benchmarks fell by nearly 2% in yesterday's session, reflecting the current market volatility.

The general context of oil markets

These daily movements cannot be understood in isolation from the broader context governing oil markets. Since the historic price collapse in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic and its devastating impact on demand, the OPEC+ , comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies led by Russia, has played a pivotal role in restoring market stability through coordinated production cuts. The alliance's decisions regarding increasing or decreasing production have become the most important indicator closely watched by investors, as they directly affect the global supply and demand balance.

The importance of the event and its expected impact

Even slight fluctuations in oil prices have far-reaching economic repercussions both regionally and internationally. For oil-producing countries, particularly in the Middle East, higher prices provide a significant boost to government revenues, helping them finance their budgets and implement development projects. However, for major consuming nations, such as China, India, and European countries, higher oil prices mean increased energy costs, which can lead to inflationary pressures and negatively impact industrial sectors and consumer transportation costs.

Globally, stable oil prices at a reasonable level are vital for global economic growth. Excessively high prices can stifle economic growth, while excessively low prices harm investment in the energy sector and destabilize the economies of producing countries. Therefore, attention is currently focused on the speed of the recovery in global demand, driven by vaccine distribution and the resumption of economic activity, and how producers will respond to these developments to maintain market equilibrium.

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