Gold prices rise ahead of US inflation data

Gold prices rise ahead of US inflation data

13.02.2026
7 mins read
Analysis of the rise in gold prices as a safe haven as investors await US inflation data that will determine the course of interest rates and the value of the dollar globally.

Gold prices rebounded significantly in trading today, recovering some of the losses incurred earlier in the week, as investors cautiously turned to the precious metal as a safe haven. This rise comes amid anticipation in global financial markets ahead of the release of key US inflation data, which is seen as a vital indicator that could determine the Federal Reserve's (the US central bank) monetary policy path in the coming months.

In trading details, spot gold rose 0.6% to $2,049.99 per ounce, recovering from its lowest level in nearly a week. Despite this daily gain, the precious metal is still on track for a slight weekly loss of 0.2%. US gold futures for April delivery also rose 0.4% to settle at $2,068 per ounce.

The historical context of gold as a safe haven

Historically, gold is considered one of the oldest and most important assets that investors turn to for preserving value during times of economic and geopolitical turmoil. During periods of high inflation, paper money loses some of its purchasing power, while gold tends to maintain or increase its value, making it an effective hedge. Demand for gold also increases during economic recessions or international tensions, as it provides a stability that other, riskier assets like stocks cannot guarantee.

The importance of inflation data and its expected impact

Investors are currently focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), the leading measure of inflation. This data will provide clear indications of whether inflationary pressures are easing, which could prompt the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not yield returns, thus increasing its investment appeal and often driving up its price. Conversely, if inflation data comes in higher than expected, the central bank may postpone its decision to cut rates, which could put downward pressure on gold prices.

Performance of other precious metals

The positive performance wasn't limited to gold; it extended to other precious metals as well. Silver rose 1.5% in spot trading to $23.31 an ounce, recovering strongly after a sharp decline in the previous session. Platinum also increased by 0.9% to $918.44, while palladium climbed 3% to $972.48 an ounce. This collective performance reflects market uncertainty and investors' desire to diversify their portfolios with safe-haven assets.

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